Zero-event upper probability limit
Bound an event probability after zero events using an exact one-sided binomial limit.
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The starting values are hypothetical. Use aggregate or synthetic inputs only.
Calculation results
- Upper probability limit
- 0.02951305
- Trials with zero events
- 100
How to interpret the output
Use only when all outcomes are observed and zero events occurred across independent equal-risk trials. Solve (1−p)^n=1−confidence. This one-sided upper bound depends on the confidence level.
Method reference