Research Workbench

Competing-risk cumulative incidence

Estimate cause-specific event probabilities with the Aalen–Johansen product-limit update.

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Use at least two synthetic records, common time origin and no delayed entry. At each tied time, both event types occur before censoring removes records.

The starting values are hypothetical. Results update as you edit. Use aggregate or synthetic inputs only.

Calculation results

Target cumulative incidence
0.5
Competing cumulative incidence
0.5
Event-free survival
0
Time: target / competing / survival
1: 0.200000 / 0.000000 / 0.800000 | 2: 0.200000 / 0.200000 / 0.600000 | 3: 0.200000 / 0.200000 / 0.600000 | 4: 0.500000 / 0.200000 / 0.300000 | 5: 0.500000 / 0.500000 / 0.000000

How to interpret the output

Each target increment is survival just before time × target events/at risk. Overall survival is then reduced by both event types. The target cumulative incidence differs from one minus a Kaplan–Meier estimate that censors competing events. Independent censoring is assumed; no confidence intervals or adjusted comparisons are returned.

Method reference

Source checked 2026-11-06. Read the reproducible calculator validation report.